Since the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, the U.S. abortion rate has steadily increased. New estimates show that abortions have risen from an estimated 955,000 abortions in 2022 to about 1.19 million in 2025.
These numbers don’t undermine Dobbs as, on its own terms, an enormous legal victory, the fruit of decades of hard work by the pro-life movement. But they do suggest that the Dobbs decision arrived in a country generally inclined to embrace legal abortion, and pro-life efforts failed to anticipate and plan for that reality effectively enough.
How should we understand this steep increase in abortion given that, post-Dobbs, about half of U.S. states enacted meaningful legal protections for unborn children?
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